Political Science Archives - Jade Colebe

Allan Lichtman: Predicting Presidential Elections with 13 Keys

Allan Lichtman’s Predictive Model Allan Lichtman’s predictive model is a system for forecasting the outcomes of U.S. presidential elections. It was developed by political scientist Allan Lichtman in the 1980s and has been used to successfully predict the winner of every presidential election since 1984. The model is based on 13 “keys” that Lichtman believes … Read more